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Gepubliceerd in:

01-07-2015 | Original Article

Judgement bias in predicting the success of one’s own basketball free throws but not those of others

Auteurs: Rouwen Cañal-Bruland, Lars Balch, Loet Niesert

Gepubliceerd in: Psychological Research | Uitgave 4/2015

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Abstract

Skilled basketball players are supposed to hit more often from the free throw distance than would be predicted by their shooting performances at adjacent distances. This is dubbed an especial skill. In the current study, we examined whether especial skills in free throw performance in basketball map onto especial skills in visually judging the success of basketball free throws. In addition, we tested whether this effect would be present in those who predict their own shots but absent in those who judge shots performed by another person. Eight skilled basketball players were coupled with eight equally skilled players, and performed 150 set shots from five different distances (including the free throw distance) while the yoked partner observed the shots. At the moment of ball release, the performers’ and the observers’ vision were synchronously occluded using liquid-crystal occlusion goggles, and both independently judged whether the shot was successful or not. Results did not replicate an especial skill effect in shooting performance. Based on signal detection theory (SDT) measures (d′ and criterion c), results also revealed no especial skill for visually discriminating successful from unsuccessful shots at the foul line when compared to other distances. However, players showed an especial skill judgement bias towards judging balls ‘in’ at the foul line, but not at other distances. Importantly, this bias was only present in those who judged the success of their own shots, but not in those who judged the shots performed by someone else.
Voetnoten
1
This analysis revealed that the mean delay in shutting times was 2.77 frames (33 ms per frame). There were no differences across shooting distances.
 
2
In keeping with Keetch et al. (2005), in our study participants indicated the outcome of the shot using a four-point scoring system (Hardy & Parfitt, 1991). Scores of three and two refer to hits (the former to a ‘swish’, and the latter to balls bouncing off the rim before falling in), and scores of one and zero refer to misses (the former to balls bouncing off the rim before falling away, and the latter to complete misses). To allow for analysing the data with SDT, we merged the four categories to two categories, that is, indications of hits and misses only.
 
3
Note that the reported criterion c values (in Fig. 3) were based on the loglinear transformation of the original hit and false alarm rates for each group at each distance separately, whereas the mean criterion c values for ‘other distances’ are based on the loglinear transformation of the mean of the hits and the mean of the false alarms of all other distances excluding the foul line (see Table 1).
 
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Metagegevens
Titel
Judgement bias in predicting the success of one’s own basketball free throws but not those of others
Auteurs
Rouwen Cañal-Bruland
Lars Balch
Loet Niesert
Publicatiedatum
01-07-2015
Uitgeverij
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Gepubliceerd in
Psychological Research / Uitgave 4/2015
Print ISSN: 0340-0727
Elektronisch ISSN: 1430-2772
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00426-014-0592-2